Friday 9 September 2011

Daily FX Market Outlook by Ace



U.S. non-farm payrolls were much worse than market expectation as no new jobs were added vs street forecast of a 75k increase and July's figure was revised sharply down from 117k to 85k. Private payrolls came in at 17k vs forecast of 105k whilst the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 9.1%.  
 
Versus the Japanese yen, the greenback edged lower from Asian higher at 76.97 to 76.75 in European session on cross buying of yen vs other currencies. Despite dollar's recovery to 76.88, the pair quickly dipped to 76.53 in NY morning after the release of the dismal U.S. jobs data but then climbed back to 76.85 ahead of NY closing on short-covering. 
 
The single currency ratcheted lower from Asian high at 1.4287 to 1.4209 in European morning on cross-selling of euro (eur/jpy, eur/gbp and eur/chf tumbled from 109.87 to 108.85, from 0.8820 to 0.8748 and from 1.1354 to 1.1002 respectively) together with the selloff in European equities. Despite euro's knee-jerk recovery to 1.4288 after release of the U.S. jobs data, renewed selling sent the pair lower to session low of 1.4183 in NY afternoon due to the sharp fall of U.S. stock markets.  
 
The British pound edged higher from Thursday NY low of 1.6132 on active cross buying of sterling vs euro and rose to 1.6255 after the release of U.S. jobs data. Despite a brief but strong retreat to 1.6172, cross-buying of sterling vs euro lifted the pair again to 1.6228 in NY afternoon. 
 
Earlier in European morning, cable was pressured after the release of U.K. Aug construction PMI which came in at 52.6 (forecast was 52.6) versus previous reading of 53.5 in July. The data suggested British construction activity expanded at its weakest pace since December, 2010 due to a slowdown in orders and output growth, as well as a more negative outlook. 
 
The DJI tumbled by 253.31 points or 2.20% and closed at 11240.26 whilst major European bourses ended the day in the red with the FTSE-100, CAC-40, and DAX indices falling by 2.34%, 3.59% and 3.36% respectively. 
 
Data to be released next week include: 
 
U.K. Lloyds employment confidence, services PMI, Germany services PMI, EU services PMI, sentix investor confidence, retail sales on Monday (U.S. and Canada are closed for Labor Day market holiday). 
 
U.K. BRC retail sales, Australia current account, RBA rate decision, Swiss CPI, EU GDP, Germany factory orders, U.S. ISM non-manufacturing on Tuesday. 
 
Australia GDP, Japan BoJ rate decision, leading indicators, U.K. industrial production, manufacturing production, Canada BoC rate decision, Ivey PMI on Wednesday. 
 
Japan current account, machinery orders, economic watch DI, Australia unemployment rate, trade balance, Swiss unemployment rate, Germany trade balance, export, imports, U.K. BoE rate decision, EU ECB rate decision, U.S. jobless claims, Canada building permits, new housing price index, trade balance, exports, imports on Thursday. 
 
Japan GDP, consumer confidence, Germany CPI final, HICP final, U.K. PPI input, PPI output, PPI core, Canada unemployment rate, housing starts, U.S. wholesales inventories on Friday.

Tuesday 6 September 2011

Daily FX Market Outlook by AceTrader-31-8-2011

Although the single currency edged higher to 1.4533 at Asian midday following Monday's rise to a near 2-month high of 1.4550, failure to re-test this resistance caused price to retreat at European open, the pair tumbled sharply to 1.4385 due to weaker-than-expected EU data together with the widening bond yield spread (Italian/German 10-year government bond yield spread rose above 300 basis points, the highest since ECB started buying the bonds) but later pared its losses on rumours the ECB bought significant amount of Italian 10-year bonds. Euro eventually recovered to 1.4465 in NY afternoon after the release of FOMC minutes. 
 
The single currency was pressured as Italy sold 7.7 billion euros ($11.1 billion) of debt, including 3.75 billion euros of 10-year bonds, with the average yield of 5.22%, down from a yield of 5.77% in July. The auction was disappointing as bids for the 10-year supply exceeded the amount on offer by just 1.27 times. 
 
EU economic and consumer sentiment were worse than expected, coming in at 98.3, the lowest since May 2010, and -16.5 vs forecasts of 100.5 and -12.0 respectively whilst EU business climate and industrial sentiment in Aug came in at 0.07 and -2.9 vs forecasts of 0.15 and -1.5 respectively. 
 
FOMC minutes for August showed most members agreed economic outlook had deteriorated enough to warrant a response and some wanted more substantial action. They discussed a range of tools reinforcing forward guidance such as asset purchases and increasing the average maturity of the Fed's balance sheet. 
 
Versus the Japanese yen, the greenback fell sharply from Australian high at 76.97 to 76.66 in European morning due to broad-based selling of yen. Despite dollar's recovery to 76.89, the pair dropped again to 76.61 on the worse-than-expected U.S. consumer confidence (44.5 vs forecast of 52.0 and the previous figure of 59.2) before stabilising. 
 
Although the British pound ratcheted higher to 1.6419 at Asian midday, cable tumbled sharply in tandem with euro to an intra-day low of 1.6255 before rebounding to 1.6318 in NY afternoon on short-covering after the release of FOMC minutes. 
 
Data to be released on Wednesday include: 
 
U.K. Gfk consumer confidence, Japan manufacturing PMI, industrial production, construction orders, housing starts, New Zealand NBNZ business confidence, Australia private-sector credit, Germany retail sales, unemployment rate, Unemployment change, EU HICP flash, unemployment rate, Canada GDP, U.S. ADP unemployment rate, Chicago PMI, factory orders, durable goods.

Daily FX Market Outlook by AceTrader-2-9-2011



The single currency edged lower from Asian high at 1.4381 and then tanked to 1.4263 in European morning on cross selling of euro vs other currencies (eur/jpy, eur/gbp and eur/chf tumbled from 111.00 to 109.53, from 0.8856 to 0.8797 and from 1.1603 to 1.1321 respectively). Although euro rebounded to 1.4315 after the release of better-than-expected U.S. ISM manufacturing data (50.6 vs street forecast of 48.5), the pair eventually dropped to session low at 1.4227 before staging a recovery to 1.4298 at NY midday. 
 
Earlier in Europe, euro was pressured as German and EU Manufacturing PMI for August were reported worse than expected at 50.9 and 49.0 versus forecasts of 52.0 and 49.7 respectively. 
 
Against the Japanese yen, the greenback rallied initially to 77.25 in Asian morning before retreating to 76.76. Although the pair rebounded to 77.18 after the release of U.S. ISM manufacturing data, selling interest below indicated Asian high at 77.25 sent price back to 76.73 at NY midday before a recovery to 76.93 was seen ahead of NY closing. 
 
The British pound traded sideways in Asia and then fell in tandem with euro from 1.6253 to 1.6195 in European session. Later, cable tanked to as low as 1.6132 in NY morning as the U.S. ISM manufacturing data strongly beat expectations before stabilising in NY afternoon. 
 
Earlier at European open, cable was under pressure after the release of weaker-than-expected U.K. house prices data as U.K. Nationwide House prices for Aug. came in at -0.6% m/m and -0.4% y/y vs forecasts of 0% and 0.4% respectively.  
 
On the data front, U.S. initial jobless claims were 409K vs 410K forecast, prior figure was revised up from 417K to 421K whilst Constructing spending for July was -1.3% vs forecast of 0.2% and June's figure was revised up from 0.2% to 1.6%. German GDP for Q2 reported as forecasted at 0.1% q/q and 2.8% y/y. 
 
Data to be released on Friday include: 
 
Japan business capex, U.K. PMI construction, EU PPI, U.S. non-farm payrolls, private payrolls, unemployment rate, avg. hourly earnings

Forex and Dow Jones recommended levels

Today’s support: - 1.3997 (main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.3966, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.3928. Break of the latter would result in 1.3905. If a strong impulse, we would see 1.3872. Continuation will give 1 .3857 and 1.3826 .
Today’s resistance: - 1.4136 and 1.4178 (main).
Break would give 1.4197, where a correction is possible. Then goes 1.4226. Break of the latter would result in 1.4277. If a strong impulse, we’d see 1.4296. Continuation will give 1.4312.

USD/JPY

Today’s support: - 76.61, 76.45 and 76.27 (main). Break would bring 76.17, where correction is possible. Then 75.91, where a correction may also happen. Break of the latter will give 75.66. If a strong impulse, we would see 75.44. Continuation would give 75.18.
Today’s resistance: - 77.17, 77.48 and 77.96 (main), where a correction may happen. Break would bring 78.47, where also a correction may be. Then 78.89. If a strong impulse, we would see 79.03. Continuation will give 79.27.


DOW JONES INDEX

Today’s support: - 11160.00 (main),
where a delay and correction may happen. Break of the latter will give 11138.26, where correction also can be. Then follows 11109.40. Be there a strong impulse, we shall see 11072.30. Continuation will bring 11030.63 and 10986.52.
Today’s resistance: - 11340.23 and 11393.62 (main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break would bring 11426.35, where a correction may happen. Then follows 11460.50, where a delay and correction could also be. Be there a strong impulse, we’d see 11497.44. Continuation would bring 11522.86 and 11542.50.

Friday 29 July 2011

Trading Types – Day Trading, Swing Trading and Position Trading


Share Market Trading can be classified into either of these categories - Day Trading, Swing Trading and Position Trading. However, the common factor among all types of traders is that Stock market traders keep up with the news. The businesses and industries react to government actions, changes in oil prices, economic forecasts and world events. The successful stock market trader stays informed about the circumstances outside a company that could cause price fluctuations for the stock.

Day trading conditions the most intense approach to stock market trading. To be on top of the fluctuations in stock prices, day traders spend hours together in monitoring the market. Day traders could make dozens of trades any day, sometimes in a matter of minutes hoping to grab the wave of price change. They avoid the risks of long term buy and hold. Day trading could be exciting, the fast pace attracting risk takers. Yet this strategy for stock market trading is only effective for day traders, who apply analysis rather then emotion to trading decision. Savvy day traders could turn profits quick. Emotional traders usually lose fast and leave disenchanted.
Swing trading uses a slightly longer time horizon than day trading, watching a stock for weeks or months before trading. This type of stock market trading relies on careful monitoring of fundamental and technical analysis. Swing traders often specialize in a certain business or industry so that they become experts in the movement within those stocks. They also have more time to study the company financial reports and industry forecasts. Since swing trading does not require hours of daily monitoring, it is a good strategy for the trader who wants to make money from stock market trading without turning it into a full time job. Even the study of reports could be done during the daily commute or lunch hour so that the swing trader stays well informed.
Position trading works well for investors who want to be involved in the stock market trading, but run short of time. Stocks are being held for months awaiting any changes in the trend. Position traders keep up with the fundamental and technical analysis as well as news events but apply a long term strategy to their stock market trading.

Thursday 28 July 2011

The Discovery and Refinement of a Highly Profitable Forex Trading Method


I’m going to tell you something I’m a bit ashamed of… I’ve lost money trading. More money than I’d like to remember. How did I lose it? You name it. “Professional” advisors, tips from friends and family, computerized systems, and so on. I finally got to the point of being sick and tired of being sick and tired. You’d think that a guy with an MBA in finance would know better.

I struck out on my own doing my own independent research, looking for something that would work. Countless hours were spent on dead ends. Finally things started to click and a successful technique was found.
I christened this technique the “Pip Factory” since it manufactures pips day in and day out, just like a factory. This is an ultra easy mechanical technique that only requires you to get online to trade it twice a day—once to enter the trade and once to exit. No constant baby-sitting needed!

Currency Trading Through the Forex Market


You Can Make Money Forex Trading Regardless Of Economic Conditions – And It Doesn’t Matter What the Market Stock Market Does, Because This Isn’t the Stock Market!
Move into the exciting world of Foreign Currency trading. Forex trading is commission free and is available 24 hours a day 6 days a week.
Listen, you don't have to be a floor trader or a fund manager to put this to work for you. No matter what your background—whether you are in construction, teaching, civil service, sales, or office work—you can successfully trade currencies and earn a great income.
Look, I’m not talking about the standard, everyday stuff you find in every forex trading book. Go through ANY book in the library, on Amazon.com, or local book store on Forex trading and you’ll find the following…
  1. Basic introduction and glossary on the forex market.
  2. Description of a dozen or more chart patterns.
The only problem with those trading techniques is that you have to recognize and interpret these “chart patterns”.  Hardly a reliable approach. Then there are the system sellers…

Saturday 23 July 2011

forex trading tips and tricks

Which group do you belong to?
If your answer is D you have better things to do than hanging out on this site so please leave this site's bandwidth to people who really need it.
However, if your answer is A, B or C than we would strongly advise you to read on...
We are not planning to explain to you here how big forex market is, trillions of dollars changing hands , you can quit your day job... Blah, Blah... You have already heard such stories and where did it get you?
You can find such "wisdom" on thousands of crappy forex blogs and sites that exist only to
clutter search engine results.
We need to get to the core of the problem. Immediately.
First, the problem needs to be identified.
You want to enter your trades with confidence. You want to have a reasonable certainity
that the trade will move in your direction.
However, more often than not, the opposite happens. And you are desperately trying to
figure out what are you doing wrong...
The answer is simple.
You are thinking inside the box. You are not seeing the whole picture.
Forex trading is a zero sum game. In order for you to win someone has to lose.
That's why forex is such a cuttroath business.
You have probably read some books on forex, learned a bit about technical analysis,
found out about some "winning" strategy, did a bit of paper trading and you thought you were ready...
The truth is, with such knowledge and 10 dollars you can buy yourself a lunch.
Or even worse.
You have stumbled upon some flashy website selling you a 100% accurate forex robot
that will triple your money every month.
Then you found another one. And then one more...
How much money did you make with such robots?
Ok. I understand.
Let's go straight to the point.

Forex Tips

Free FOREX Currency Tips

Forex Markets ot the currency markets are one of the most widely growing markets of the world. Trading activities are increasing day by day to an enormous level. With very high liquidity and trading action the international currency markets are being given more and more attention by traders world wide. More traders on a daily basis speculate in the FOREX futures on the exchanges as well as people come here to hedge their business positions – the exporters and the importers.
Furex Tips and Currency future tips are very important for people who are trading in FOREX markets and especially the USDINR or GBPINR futures contracts. These free currency markets tips in Indian forex markets will help indian traders to make maximum out of these tips and trading advice by giving them the right advice on what to buy and when to buy. With help of BullRider Free FOREX Tips and currency tips traders can have enormous profits daily

 
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